Sales in Q4 of 2016 continued to grow for the UK construction sector – the fifteenth quarter in a row according to the Construction Products Association.
On an annual basis, 78% of heavy side firms reported that sales had increased in Q4, whilst on the light side, 75% of firms reported that sales were higher than a year earlier, which was the highest balance since 2014 Q3.
However, as uncertainty intensifies and cost pressures from the fall in Sterling post-Referendum hit this year, the industry may struggle to experience similar growth. Among heavy side manufacturers only 6% on balance anticipate a rise in sales over 2017 Q1, and 29% on balance of light side manufacturers anticipate a rise during the same period.
Rebecca Larkin, CPA Senior Economist said: “Unsurprisingly, manufacturers’ expectations for 2017 appear to have been tempered by the uncertainty surrounding the economic and political outlook. Heavy side manufacturers appeared most exposed to the effects of Sterling’s depreciation during the second half of 2016. In Q4, two-thirds of firms reported an increase in costs, the highest in five years, and a further 89% anticipate an increase over the next year. Rising costs of imported raw materials continue to be a primary driver of cost inflation, but there is now an indication that currency weakness is filtering through to higher energy and fuel costs too.
“The impact of Brexit on the construction industry is, as yet, unclear, but it is unlikely this year will be as buoyant as last unless government is able to provide greater certainty and the industry is able to manage cost pressures.”
Key survey findings include: –
- Sales rose for 78% of heavy side firms and 75% of firms on the light side, on balance –
- A balance of 50% of heavy and light side firms reported that construction product sales rose in the fourth quarter of 2016 compared with Q3 –
- On balance, 6% of heavy side manufacturers anticipated a rise in sales in 2017 Q1, worsening from a balance of 45% in Q3 –
- On the light side, 29% of firms expected an increase in product sales in the next quarter, compared to a balance of 67% in Q3
- Annual cost increases were reported by 78% of heavy side manufacturers and 71% of those on the light side
- Raw materials costs rose according to 78% of heavy side manufacturers and 88% of those on the light side
- Fuel and energy costs rose for 71% and 61% of heavy side manufacturers respectively.